Imagery released on Thursday of North Korea\u2019s latest missile test showed new rocket engines and a larger design that likely puts Kim Jong Un closer to his goal of being able to deliver a nuclear warhead to a target anywhere in the world, though without great accuracy yet, analysts said. North Korea released dozens of photos and a video after Wednesday\u2019s launch of the new Hwasong-15 missile, which North Korean leader Kim Jong Un declared had \u201cfinally realized the great historic cause of completing the state nuclear force\u201d.<\/p>\n
Since July\u2019s launch of the Hwasong-14, its first long-range intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), North Korea analysts have been looking for signs the isolated country has developed precise guidance systems, reliable and powerful rocket engines, and a re-entry vehicle capable of protecting a nuclear warhead as it speeds toward its target.<\/p>\n
\u201cNorth Korea is continuing to pursue its ICBM in a methodical and pragmatic manner, making progress in incremental steps,\u201d said Joseph Bermudez from 38 North, a Washington-based North Korea monitoring project.<\/p>\n
US officials noted, however, that North Korea has not proved it has an accurate guidance system for an ICBM or a capable re-entry vehicle.<\/p>\n
South Korea\u2019s Joint Chiefs of Staff spokesman Roh Jae-cheon cautioned that more analysis is needed to determine the Hwasong-15\u2019s full performance, but said North Korea had clearly made significant changes since the Hwasong-14.<\/p>\n
\u201cOur initial analysis of the photos showed that there were clear differences between the Hwasong-15 and Hwasong-14 in terms of the looks of the warhead, the joint of the first and second stages of the missile, and overall size,\u201d Roh told a briefing on Thursday.<\/p>\n
North Korea said the new missile soared to an altitude of about 4,475 km (2,780 miles), more than 10 times the height of the International Space Station, and flew 950 km during its 53-minute flight \u2013 higher and longer than any North Korean missile, before landing in the sea near Japan.<\/p>\n
The missile\u2019s large size was immediately apparent in the photos, which analysts said could provide for a more powerful propulsion system.<\/p>\n
\u201cThis is a very big missile,\u201d Michael Duitsman, a research associate at the Centre for Nonproliferation Studies, said in an analysis posted to Twitter. \u201cAnd I don\u2019t mean \u2018Big for North Korea.\u2019 Only a few countries can produce missiles of this size, and North Korea just joined the club.\u201d<\/p>\n
One US intelligence official told Reuters the Hwasong-15 test appears to demonstrate a more powerful North Korean solid-fuel propulsion system, especially in its second-stage rocket.<\/p>\n
A solid-fuel system for an ICBM would be a significant development and could allow the North Koreans to transport and launch a missile more quickly, compared to a liquid-fuel system that requires lengthy preparation.<\/p>\n
The photos appeared to show the missile with at least two large nozzles on its first stage, instead of the one large and several smaller nozzles on the Hwasong-14.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe first stage seems to use essentially the same case (as the Hwasong-14) but has two engines,\u201d said David Wright, of the Union of Concerned Scientists, a US-based nonprofit science advocacy group. \u201cThe second stage looks like it can carry more than twice as much propellant. The combination of those two things means it really is a new, more capable missile.\u201d The missile\u2019s size and design may also make it possible for it to carry a larger warhead and a more robust re-entry vehicle, analysts said. The nose section of the missile appeared to be blunter than previous versions, which might suggest progress in developing a re-entry vehicle, Bermudez said.<\/p>\n
The photos appeared to show a mobile erector vehicle positioning the missile at the launch site, designed to allow it to be fired from a wider number of areas to prevent it from being intercepted.<\/p>\n
While the photos show the vehicle being used to position the missile upright, it is not seen in photos of the launch itself. US intelligence analysts have concluded from satellite and other data that the test missile was fired from a fixed position, not a mobile launcher, three US officials said.<\/p>\n
A video released later on Wednesday by state media showed the missile standing alone before launch on a small platform, confirming the intelligence assessments.<\/p>\n
That the missile is likely longer and heavier than its predecessors is evidenced by the sheer size of the transporter, which had nine axles instead of eight previously seen in North Korean transporters, he said.<\/p>\n
The massive vehicle was \u201c100 percent\u201d a domestic product of North Korea, state media quoted Kim Jong Un as saying. Western analysts said it is more likely the truck was one of about half a dozen vehicles obtained years ago from China, which North Korea has modified since then.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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